Cape Girardeau, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

561
FXUS63 KPAH 060815
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
215 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Up and down temperatures today through the weekend. Warmer
  next week. 50s nearly guaranteed Monday and Tuesday for most
  of the area.

- Dry through the weekend and then rain chances come back
  Tuesday into Wednesday. Forecast is messy after Wednesday due
  to model discrepancy.

- The warmer temperatures will really aid snowmelt processes
  through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 213 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

We`re still in northwest flow aloft today that will gradually
deamplify and relax over the weekend. Warmer temperatures are
expected today ahead of a cold front that will swing through with a
clipper system that will pass to our northeast. NBM shows SEMO, the
KY Purchase Region, and the southern KY Pennyrile at a greater than
50% chance of seeing 50+ degrees today. Expect breezy northwest
winds along and behind the front later today.

It will be colder again tomorrow behind the front as sfc high
pressure moves through the upper Midwest and turns winds to the
northeast. The chances of seeing 40+ degrees is essentially confined
to western portions of SEMO. As this sfc high moves through the Ohio
Valley winds turn back to the south on Sunday kicking off a warming
trend through Tuesday. Sunday`s highs will be similar to today`s.
Monday though, NBM has a majority of the area at a greater than 90%
chance of seeing 50+ with the exception of the Evansville Tri-State
which has a 30-70% chance of 50+. Most of SEMO, the Purchase Region,
and southern Pennyrile have a greater than 50% chance of seeing 60+
on Monday. Tuesday is even better with majority of the area at a
greater than 60% chance of 60+ degrees with the exception of the
Evansville Tri-State again, which has a 30-50% chance of 60+. West
of Poplar Bluff even has a 30-40% chance of 70+! Lows are above
freezing across the board Monday night and Tuesday night.

A weakening southern stream trof moves along the Gulf Coast Tuesday
and Wednesday. Rain chances ramp up Tuesday into Tuesday evening (40-
60%) and then a cold front comes through late Tuesday night. Right
now NBM lingers rain chances into Wednesday afternoon (15-25%),
beyond that model discrepancy keeps weak PoPs (15-20%) through
Thursday afternoon and increases them again (20-30%) Thursday
evening into Friday afternoon. This is a messy time period that will
hopefully resolve in the next few days.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1136 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Clearer conditions are projected tonight with some vsby
reductions possible in the south, particularly at
climatologically favored locations. Light winds overnight become
breezy out of the northwest during the day. LLWS is possible
ahead of the wind shift. MVFR cigs move in from the northwest,
at least for the northeastern two-thirds of the Quad State.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...ATL